Jéssica Andrade vs Natália Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record20-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'5"
62"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Borracha
What's at stake
Natália Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-9→ 1652
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-20→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jéssica AndradeNatália Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natália Silva87%
Jéssica Andrade 13%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 87% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Natália Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1661, a 85-point edge.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Natália Silva 63%.
Jéssica Andrade and Natália Silva share 1 common opponent: Jasmine Jasudavicius.
Natália Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.