Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Valentina Shevchenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record26-4-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'5"
62"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Valentina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+18→ 1679
If they lose-6→ 1655
Valentina ShevchenkoNow 1834
If they win+6→ 1840
If they lose-18→ 1816

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.06
54%
Strike defense
63%
2.21
Takedown avg.
2.62
55%
Takedown accuracy
60%
72%
Takedown defense
76%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeValentina Shevchenko
1650170017501800185020242025

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
8 (31%)
Submission
7 (27%)
8 (31%)
Decision
11 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Valentina Shevchenko79%
Jéssica Andrade 21%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Valentina Shevchenko a 79% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Valentina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1661, a 173-point edge.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Shevchenko 58%.

Jéssica Andrade and Valentina Shevchenko share 1 common opponent: Lauren Murphy.

Valentina Shevchenko carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Lauren Murphy
WinTKO · 2021
WinTKO (elbows and punches) · 2021