Combat Edge Intelligence

Júlia Barros vs Miles McDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

Júlia Barros is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Miles McDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Júlia BarrosNow 1561
If they win+19→ 1580
If they lose-29→ 1532
Miles McDonaldNow 1491
If they win+29→ 1520
If they lose-19→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Júlia BarrosMiles McDonald
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (100%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Júlia Barros79%
Miles McDonald 21%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Júlia Barros a 79% favorite over Miles McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Júlia Barros holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1561 to 1491, a 70-point edge.

Júlia Barros enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Júlia Barros finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Miles McDonald 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.