Kaan Ofli vs Keiichiro Nakamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
66"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+24→ 1700
If they lose-24→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaan OfliKeiichiro Nakamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kaan Ofli and Keiichiro Nakamura within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.
Kaan Ofli enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Kaan Ofli finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Nakamura 88%.
Keiichiro Nakamura carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.