Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaan Ofli vs Patryk Kaczmarczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaan Ofli
au

Kaan Ofli

“Genghis”

14-4-1FeatherweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record14-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
66"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaan OfliNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Patryk KaczmarczykNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.38
Takedown avg.
TBD
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.38
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kaan OfliPatryk Kaczmarczyk
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
7 (50%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (36%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kaan Ofli and Patryk Kaczmarczyk within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.

Kaan Ofli enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Patryk Kaczmarczyk enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kaan Ofli finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Patryk Kaczmarczyk 50%.

Patryk Kaczmarczyk carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.