Kacper Cholewa vs Lee Gibson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Sportowe PulawyTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper CholewaLee Gibson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Cholewa57%
Lee Gibson 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Cholewa a 57% favorite over Lee Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.
Kacper Cholewa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kacper Cholewa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lee Gibson 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.