Combat Edge Intelligence

Kacper Formela vs Leo Brichta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
71.3"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

Kacper Formela is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Leo Brichta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kacper FormelaNow 1666
If they win+10→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1652
Leo BrichtaNow 1614
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kacper FormelaLeo Brichta
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
3 (15%)
Submission
4 (29%)
9 (45%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Brichta51%
Kacper Formela 49%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Brichta a 51% favorite over Kacper Formela in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kacper Formela's way (43%).

Kacper Formela holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1614, a 52-point edge.

Kacper Formela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kacper Formela finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Leo Brichta 86%.

Kacper Formela and Leo Brichta share 1 common opponent: Roman Szymański.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO (Punches) · 2025
Roman Szymański
WinTKO (Punches) · 2023