Kacper Koziorzębski vs Muslim Tulshaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach78.7"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonzai MMA· 1586 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1611 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Muslim Tulshaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kacper Koziorzębski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1600
If they lose-13→ 1568
If they win+13→ 1668
If they lose-19→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper KoziorzębskiMuslim Tulshaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Tulshaev65%
Kacper Koziorzębski 35%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Tulshaev a 65% favorite over Kacper Koziorzębski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Muslim Tulshaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1581, a 74-point edge.
Kacper Koziorzębski enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kacper Koziorzębski finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Tulshaev 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.