Kacper Koziorzębski vs Wendell de Oliveira Marques
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record31-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonzai MMA· 1586 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWar Machine
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
If they win+12→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper KoziorzębskiWendell de Oliveira Marques
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Koziorzębski52%
Wendell de Oliveira Marques 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Koziorzębski a 52% favorite over Wendell de Oliveira Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.
Kacper Koziorzębski enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Wendell de Oliveira Marques enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Kacper Koziorzębski finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Wendell de Oliveira Marques 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.