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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kacper Koziorzębski vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
6'0"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Bonzai MMA· 1587 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kacper KoziorzębskiNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.51
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
89%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Kacper KoziorzębskiMatthew Riddle
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (69%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle52%
Kacper Koziorzębski 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 52% favorite over Kacper Koziorzębski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Kacper Koziorzębski enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kacper Koziorzębski finishes 31% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.