Kacper Paczóski vs Neil Wain
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight242 lbs
Uniq Fight Club· 1591 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1474 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper PaczóskiNeil Wain
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kacper Paczóski and Neil Wain within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Kacper Paczóski enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kacper Paczóski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neil Wain 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.