Kaelob Alger vs Kevin Caperna
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record2-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'2"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Hagerstown Brazilian Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 15 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1473
If they lose-24→ 1425
If they win+24→ 1475
If they lose-24→ 1427
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kaelob AlgerKevin Caperna
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kaelob Alger and Kevin Caperna within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1449 vs 1451), separated by just 2 points.
Kaelob Alger enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Caperna enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.