Kaelob Alger vs Sebastian Quevedo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record2-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Sebastian Quevedo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Kaelob Alger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1478
If they lose-19→ 1430
If they win+19→ 1546
If they lose-29→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kaelob AlgerSebastian Quevedo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sebastian Quevedo69%
Kaelob Alger 31%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Quevedo a 69% favorite over Kaelob Alger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Sebastian Quevedo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1527 to 1449, a 78-point edge.
Kaelob Alger enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sebastian Quevedo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.