Kaelob Alger vs Sebastian Quevedo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Sebastian Quevedo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Kaelob Alger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1502
If they lose-22→ 1454
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaelob AlgerSebastian Quevedo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sebastian Quevedo53%
Kaelob Alger 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Quevedo a 53% favorite over Kaelob Alger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Sebastian Quevedo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1476, a 24-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.