Kafiz Sakibekov vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kafiz SakibekovKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kafiz Sakibekov84%
Kurt Pellegrino 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 84% favorite over Kurt Pellegrino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kurt Pellegrino's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.