Combat Edge Intelligence

Kafiz Sakibekov vs Lukasz Sajewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach71,0"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kafiz SakibekovNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Lukasz SajewskiNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kafiz SakibekovLukasz Sajewski
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (27%)
Submission
8 (53%)
5 (45%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov72%
Lukasz Sajewski 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 72% favorite over Lukasz Sajewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Lukasz Sajewski 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.