Kafiz Sakibekov vs Lukasz Sajewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach71,0"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kafiz SakibekovLukasz Sajewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lukasz Sajewski54%
Kafiz Sakibekov 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lukasz Sajewski a 54% favorite over Kafiz Sakibekov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kafiz Sakibekov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.
Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Lukasz Sajewski 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.