Combat Edge Intelligence

Kafiz Sakibekov vs Michal Figlak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamTrojan Free Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kafiz SakibekovNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Michal FiglakNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kafiz SakibekovMichal Figlak
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov79%
Michal Figlak 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 79% favorite over Michal Figlak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michal Figlak's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Michal Figlak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Michal Figlak 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.