Combat Edge Intelligence

Kafiz Sakibekov vs Mizuto Hirota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record18-11-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach67,5"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamCave

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kafiz SakibekovNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Mizuto HirotaNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.50
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Kafiz SakibekovMizuto Hirota
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov85%
Mizuto Hirota 15%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 85% favorite over Mizuto Hirota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1618), separated by just 0 points.

Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mizuto Hirota 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.