Kafiz Sakibekov vs Ralph Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamRalph Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kafiz SakibekovRalph Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kafiz Sakibekov66%
Ralph Gracie 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 66% favorite over Ralph Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.
Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ralph Gracie 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.