Kai Asakura vs Rustam Kerimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record22-3-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'5"
69"Reach-
134 lbsWeight147 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1629 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 32 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
If they win+16→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kai AsakuraRustam Kerimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kai Asakura55%
Rustam Kerimov 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kai Asakura a 55% favorite over Rustam Kerimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Kerimov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1741), separated by just 1 points.
Kai Asakura enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kai Asakura finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.