Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Asakura vs Sanzhar Zakirov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record16-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKhaturaev Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kai AsakuraNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Sanzhar ZakirovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kai AsakuraSanzhar Zakirov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
3 (14%)
Submission
4 (25%)
5 (23%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kai Asakura and Sanzhar Zakirov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1717), separated by just 2 points.

Kai Asakura finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Sanzhar Zakirov 63%.

Sanzhar Zakirov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.