Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Kamaka III vs Ollie Sarwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kai Kamaka III
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Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-8-1FeatherweightUFC

1659Good
Ollie Sarwa
gb-eng

Ollie Sarwa

“Sweet and”

9-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1660Good

Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach-
145 lbsWeight139 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamForce MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kai Kamaka IIINow 1659
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647
Ollie SarwaNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.51
Takedown avg.
TBD
54%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.22
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kai Kamaka IIIOllie Sarwa
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (78%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kai Kamaka III and Ollie Sarwa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Kai Kamaka III finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.