Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Kara-France vs Mark De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
69″Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Kai Kara-France is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mark De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kai Kara-FranceNow 1679
If they win+10→ 1689
If they lose-14→ 1665
Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+19→ 1634
If they lose-13→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
40%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
65%
Strike defense
49%
0.61
Takedown avg.
0.54
33%
Takedown accuracy
14%
88%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Kai Kara-FranceMark De La Rosa
16001650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (12%)
Submission
6 (55%)
10 (40%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kara-France61%
Mark De La Rosa 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kara-France a 61% favorite over Mark De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Kai Kara-France holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1615, a 64-point edge.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kai Kara-France finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mark De La Rosa 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.