Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Kara-France vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record23-16-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
69″Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
City KickboxingTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

Kai Kara-France is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Nam carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kai Kara-FranceNow 1678
If they win+9→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1663
Tyson NamNow 1602
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-9→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
40%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
65%
Strike defense
65%
0.61
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
88%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kai Kara-FranceTyson Nam
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
3 (12%)
Submission
1 (4%)
10 (40%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kara-France72%
Tyson Nam 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kara-France a 72% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Kai Kara-France holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1602, a 76-point edge.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kai Kara-France finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.