Kailan Hill vs Marcus Nash
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record5-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black HouseTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kailan HillMarcus Nash
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Nash53%
Kailan Hill 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Nash a 53% favorite over Kailan Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.
Kailan Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kailan Hill finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Nash 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.