Combat Edge Intelligence

Kailan Hill vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kailan HillNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kailan HillRômulo Oliveira
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira60%
Kailan Hill 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 60% favorite over Kailan Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kailan Hill's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Kailan Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kailan Hill finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.