Kailan Hill vs Tagir Machmudov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record3-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach72.4"
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
Black HouseTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kailan HillTagir Machmudov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tagir Machmudov58%
Kailan Hill 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Machmudov a 58% favorite over Kailan Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kailan Hill's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1551), separated by just 0 points.
Kailan Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kailan Hill finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Machmudov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.