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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaiwen Li vs Koji Oishi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

17-8-0LightweightRUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record25-10-10
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
K-1 GymTeamPANCRASEism

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaiwen LiNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Koji OishiNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
43%
Strike accuracy
9%
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
17.86
54%
Strike defense
43%
1.41
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
93%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kaiwen LiKoji Oishi
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (35%)
Decision
17 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaiwen Li62%
Koji Oishi 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 62% favorite over Koji Oishi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Koji Oishi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Kaiwen Li finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Koji Oishi 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.