Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaiwen Li vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

17-8-0LightweightRUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record7-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
150 lbsWeight140 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaiwen LiNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Mehdi SaadiNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.41
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
93%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kaiwen LiMehdi Saadi
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
1 (6%)
Submission
4 (57%)
6 (35%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kaiwen Li and Mehdi Saadi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kaiwen Li finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.