Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaiwen Li vs Steven Peterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

17-8-0LightweightRUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record19-11-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
K-1 GymTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaiwen LiNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Steven PetersonNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.76
43%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
54%
Strike defense
53%
1.41
Takedown avg.
1.42
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
93%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Kaiwen LiSteven Peterson
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (6%)
Submission
8 (42%)
6 (35%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaiwen Li79%
Steven Peterson 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 79% favorite over Steven Peterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kaiwen Li finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.