Kaiwen Li vs Tyler Toner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
K-1 GymTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaiwen LiTyler Toner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kaiwen Li76%
Tyler Toner 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 76% favorite over Tyler Toner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1611), separated by just 0 points.
Kaiwen Li finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Toner 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.