Kajan Johnson vs Mohammad Fahmi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-1Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75,5"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSpecial Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kajan JohnsonMohammad Fahmi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Fahmi73%
Kajan Johnson 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 73% favorite over Kajan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kajan Johnson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kajan Johnson finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Fahmi 71%.
Kajan Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.