Kajan Johnson vs Rustam Khabilov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-1Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75,5"Reach40,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kajan Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-7→ 1608
If they win+7→ 1792
If they lose-17→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Khabilov83%
Kajan Johnson 17%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 83% favorite over Kajan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1615, a 170-point edge.
Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kajan Johnson finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.
Kajan Johnson and Rustam Khabilov share 1 common opponent: Adriano Martins.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.