Combat Edge Intelligence

Kajan Johnson vs Stevie Ray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Stevie Ray

Stevie Ray

“Braveheart”

26-13-0WelterweightPFL

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

23-13-1Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamHigher Level MMA

What's at stake

Stevie Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kajan Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kajan JohnsonNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
Stevie RayNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
64%
Strike defense
55%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0.75
38%
Takedown accuracy
46%
63%
Takedown defense
56%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Kajan JohnsonStevie Ray
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
8 (35%)
Submission
10 (38%)
7 (30%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Stevie Ray68%
Kajan Johnson 32%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 68% favorite over Kajan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Stevie Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1615, a 29-point edge.

Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stevie Ray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kajan Johnson finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.