Kajan Johnson vs Zhang Lipeng
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-1Record34-13-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamPhuket Top Team
What's at stake
Kajan Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Zhang Lipeng carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+32→ 1528
If they lose-16→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kajan JohnsonZhang Lipeng
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kajan Johnson54%
Zhang Lipeng 46%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Kajan Johnson a 54% favorite over Zhang Lipeng in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Kajan Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1496, a 119-point edge.
Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kajan Johnson finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Zhang Lipeng 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.