Kaleo Kwan vs Pedro Ribeiro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-16-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
HIbred HouseTeamCT Punch Fight Team
What's at stake
Pedro Ribeiro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Kaleo Kwan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1513
If they lose-11→ 1489
If they win+23→ 1541
If they lose-25→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaleo KwanPedro Ribeiro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Ribeiro72%
Kaleo Kwan 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Ribeiro a 72% favorite over Kaleo Kwan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Pedro Ribeiro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1518 to 1500, a 18-point edge.
Kaleo Kwan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kaleo Kwan finishes 55% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.