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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaleo Kwan vs Roman Sandoval

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaleo Kwan
us

Kaleo Kwan

“Lights Out”

11-16-0LightweightKCM

1499Average

Tale of the tape

11-16-0Record1-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
HIbred HouseTeamIsco Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaleo KwanNow 1499
If they win+12→ 1511
If they lose-12→ 1487
Roman SandovalNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kaleo KwanRoman Sandoval
15002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaleo Kwan51%
Roman Sandoval 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaleo Kwan a 51% favorite over Roman Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1498), separated by just 1 points.

Kaleo Kwan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kaleo Kwan finishes 55% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.