Kaleo Meheula vs Satoru Kitaoka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record45-27-10
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
149 lbsWeight156 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLotus Setagaya
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kaleo MeheulaSatoru Kitaoka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Satoru Kitaoka54%
Kaleo Meheula 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Satoru Kitaoka a 54% favorite over Kaleo Meheula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaleo Meheula's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1551), separated by just 1 points.
Satoru Kitaoka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kaleo Meheula finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Satoru Kitaoka 49%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.