Kalib Starnes vs Luka Vrtačić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-1Record2-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Aegis AthleticsTeamTrojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kalib StarnesLuka Vrtačić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luka Vrtačić54%
Kalib Starnes 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luka Vrtačić a 54% favorite over Kalib Starnes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kalib Starnes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.
Luka Vrtačić enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kalib Starnes finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.