Combat Edge Intelligence

Kalib Starnes vs Nate Quarry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-1Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Aegis AthleticsTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kalib StarnesNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Nate QuarryNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
53%
Strike defense
66%
1.46
Takedown avg.
0.25
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
25%
Takedown defense
60%
0.59
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kalib StarnesNate Quarry
15501600200820092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
10 (59%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (12%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Quarry51%
Kalib Starnes 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Quarry a 51% favorite over Kalib Starnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.

Kalib Starnes finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nate Quarry 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.