Combat Edge Intelligence

Kalib Starnes vs Nick Klein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Klein
us

Nick Klein

“Blue Collar”

6-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-1Record6-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Aegis AthleticsTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kalib StarnesNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Nick KleinNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
49%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
53%
Strike defense
40%
1.46
Takedown avg.
5.79
33%
Takedown accuracy
35%
25%
Takedown defense
67%
0.59
Submission avg.
1.93

Trajectory

Kalib StarnesNick Klein
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
10 (59%)
Submission
3 (50%)
2 (12%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Klein66%
Kalib Starnes 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Klein a 66% favorite over Kalib Starnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.

Nick Klein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kalib Starnes finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nick Klein 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.