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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kalib Starnes vs Ricky Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-1Record6-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight160 lbs
Aegis AthleticsTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kalib StarnesNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Ricky MillerNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
1.46
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
25%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.59
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kalib StarnesRicky Miller
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
10 (59%)
Submission
4 (67%)
2 (12%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Miller56%
Kalib Starnes 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Miller a 56% favorite over Kalib Starnes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kalib Starnes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Kalib Starnes finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Miller 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.