Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaloyan Kolev vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
Team Real PainTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaloyan KolevNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
10.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
60%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kaloyan KolevWill Fleury
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (24%)
2 (17%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Fleury63%
Kaloyan Kolev 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Fleury a 63% favorite over Kaloyan Kolev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.

Kaloyan Kolev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kaloyan Kolev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.