Combat Edge Intelligence

Kamal Shalorus vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-2Record29-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kaizen MMATeamFightspirit Team

What's at stake

Khabib Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Kamal Shalorus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kamal ShalorusNow 1583
If they win+27→ 1610
If they lose-5→ 1578
Khabib NurmagomedovNow 1890
If they win+4→ 1894
If they lose-20→ 1870

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.06
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
32%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
70%
Strike defense
65%
2.07
Takedown avg.
5.32
50%
Takedown accuracy
48%
81%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Kamal ShalorusKhabib Nurmagomedov
1600170018001900201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (28%)
1 (11%)
Submission
11 (38%)
4 (44%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Khabib Nurmagomedov84%
Kamal Shalorus 16%Elo baseline: 85%

The Combat Edge model makes Khabib Nurmagomedov a 84% favorite over Kamal Shalorus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).

Khabib Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1890 to 1583, a 307-point edge.

Kamal Shalorus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Kamal Shalorus finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Khabib Nurmagomedov 66%.

Kamal Shalorus and Khabib Nurmagomedov share 1 common opponent: Rafael dos Anjos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2012
Rafael dos Anjos
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2014