Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1834
If they lose-12→ 1810
If they win+16→ 1844
If they lose-16→ 1812
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1799 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamaru UsmanKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev72%
Kamaru Usman 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 72% favorite over Kamaru Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1822 vs 1828), separated by just 6 points.
Kamaru Usman finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
Kamaru Usman and Khamzat Chimaev share 1 common opponent: Gilbert Burns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.