Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record22-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1822
If they lose-12→ 1798
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1799 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1780 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamaru UsmanLeon Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamaru Usman63%
Leon Edwards 37%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamaru Usman a 63% favorite over Leon Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1810 vs 1796), separated by just 14 points.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kamaru Usman finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Leon Edwards 45%.
Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards share 1 common opponent: Colby Covington.
Kamaru Usman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.