Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record22-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Renegade· 1736 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Kamaru Usman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Leon Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1822
If they lose-13→ 1798
If they win+13→ 1809
If they lose-11→ 1785
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1800 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1780 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kamaru UsmanLeon Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards within a point of even.
Kamaru Usman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1796, a 15-point edge.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kamaru Usman finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Leon Edwards 45%.
Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards share 1 common opponent: Colby Covington.
Kamaru Usman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.