Kamaru Usman vs Nassourdine Imavov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record17-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Kamaru Usman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nassourdine Imavov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1821
If they lose-13→ 1797
If they win+17→ 1805
If they lose-15→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1799 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamaru UsmanNassourdine Imavov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nassourdine Imavov67%
Kamaru Usman 33%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 67% favorite over Kamaru Usman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kamaru Usman's way (47%).
Kamaru Usman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1788, a 22-point edge.
Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kamaru Usman finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Nassourdine Imavov 65%.
Kamaru Usman and Nassourdine Imavov share 1 common opponent: Joaquin Buckley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.