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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kamaru Usman vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kamaru Usman
us

Kamaru Usman

“The Nigerian Nightmare”

21-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1811Great

Tale of the tape

21-5-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kamaru UsmanNow 1811
If they win+12→ 1823
If they lose-12→ 1799
Sean StricklandNow 1824
If they win+12→ 1836
If they lose-12→ 1812

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1800 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.16
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
55%
Strike defense
61%
2.79
Takedown avg.
0.71
44%
Takedown accuracy
64%
90%
Takedown defense
77%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Kamaru UsmanSean Strickland
1800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (13%)
11 (52%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Kamaru Usman53%
Sean Strickland 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Kamaru Usman a 53% favorite over Sean Strickland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Strickland's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1811 vs 1824), separated by just 13 points.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kamaru Usman finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Kamaru Usman and Sean Strickland share 2 common opponents: Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDECISION - MAJORITY · 2023
Khamzat Chimaev
WinDecision (Split) · 2026
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Dricus Du Plessis
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Split · 2024