Kamil Oniszczuk vs Kestutis Smirnovas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record24-8-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
194 lbsWeight198 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAudra Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamil OniszczukKestutis Smirnovas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamil Oniszczuk82%
Kestutis Smirnovas 18%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamil Oniszczuk a 82% favorite over Kestutis Smirnovas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kestutis Smirnovas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1631), separated by just 3 points.
Kamil Oniszczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kamil Oniszczuk finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Kestutis Smirnovas 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.