Kamil Oniszczuk vs Rafael Cavalcante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record13-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
74"Reach41,0"
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamil OniszczukRafael Cavalcante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamil Oniszczuk63%
Rafael Cavalcante 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamil Oniszczuk a 63% favorite over Rafael Cavalcante in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael Cavalcante's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Kamil Oniszczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kamil Oniszczuk finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Cavalcante 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.