Combat Edge Intelligence

Kamil Oniszczuk vs Sean O'Connell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean O'Connell
us

Sean O'Connell

“The Real OC”

21-10-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
74"Reach74,0"
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kamil OniszczukNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Sean O'ConnellNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.77
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Kamil OniszczukSean O'Connell
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
12 (57%)
2 (15%)
Submission
3 (14%)
6 (46%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Kamil Oniszczuk73%
Sean O'Connell 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kamil Oniszczuk a 73% favorite over Sean O'Connell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean O'Connell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.

Kamil Oniszczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kamil Oniszczuk finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.